Merreikh El-Fasher vs Hilal Obayed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merreikh El-Fasher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
ALA
0 - 1
MER
53%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
MER
1 - 4
KHA
47%
27%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
ALM
2 - 1
MER
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
MER
3 - 1
AAS
40%
27%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
ALH
4 - 0
MER
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hilal Obayed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
OBA
5 - 0
KHA
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
AAS
2 - 0
OBA
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
OBA
1 - 0
HAY
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
ALA
2 - 1
OBA
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
OBA
1 - 0
ALM
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |