Merreikh El-Fasher vs Hilal Obayed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merreikh El-Fasher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
MER
2 - 1
ALH
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MER
1 - 0
MER
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
ALR
1 - 0
MER
48%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
MER
1 - 1
ALM
43%
27%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
MER
0 - 0
KHA
46%
27%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hilal Obayed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
WAD
0 - 3
OBA
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
OBA
2 - 0
ASH
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
OBA
2 - 1
HAY
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
TPM
5 - 0
OBA
90%
8%
2%
|
44 | 73 | 29 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
OBA
1 - 2
TPM
5%
13%
82%
|
44 | 73 | 29 | 0 |