Merreikh El-Fasher vs El-Ahli Atbara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merreikh El-Fasher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
MER
2 - 1
ALA
44%
27%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
MER
1 - 1
HIL
46%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
ALA
1 - 1
MER
45%
27%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
ALN
2 - 4
MER
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
ALA
0 - 0
MER
55%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
El-Ahli Atbara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
HIL
1 - 1
ELA
47%
27%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
ELA
2 - 0
ALN
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
ELA
1 - 0
ALA
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
ALA
2 - 0
ELA
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
ALN
2 - 2
ELA
47%
27%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |