Merreikh El-Fasher vs Al Shorta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merreikh El-Fasher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2020 |
MER
2 - 1
ALA
61%
24%
16%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
HIL
1 - 0
MER
31%
30%
39%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
MER
1 - 1
HAW
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
ALA
1 - 1
MER
40%
30%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
MER
2 - 1
HAY
54%
26%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Al Shorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
ASH
2 - 1
HIL
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2020 |
HAY
2 - 1
ASH
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
ASH
0 - 3
ALM
14%
23%
64%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
ASH
1 - 0
ELA
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2020 |
ALH
1 - 0
ASH
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |