Merreikh El-Fasher vs Al Shorta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merreikh El-Fasher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
WHS
2 - 1
MER
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
MER
1 - 1
HAY
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
ALH
1 - 2
MER
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
ALR
1 - 1
MER
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2018 |
ALA
1 - 1
MER
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Al Shorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
ASH
2 - 0
ALR
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
WHS
2 - 1
ASH
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
ASH
1 - 1
ALH
58%
22%
19%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
HAY
1 - 0
ASH
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2019 |
ASH
0 - 1
ALA
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |