Merreikh El-Fasher vs Alfalah Atbra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merreikh El-Fasher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
MER
1 - 1
ALH
22%
27%
52%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
KHA
1 - 0
MER
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
OBA
1 - 1
MER
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
AAS
1 - 0
MER
36%
29%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
MER
3 - 2
ASH
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alfalah Atbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
HAW
1 - 0
AFA
54%
26%
19%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
HAY
2 - 2
AFA
62%
21%
18%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
AFA
0 - 2
ALM
12%
23%
66%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ALA
1 - 0
AFA
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2020 |
AFA
2 - 2
ALA
26%
27%
47%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |