Merreikh El-Fasher vs Al Ahly Shendi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
42.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merreikh El-Fasher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
MER
3 - 1
ASH
47%
26%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
WHS
2 - 1
MER
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
MER
1 - 1
HAY
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
ALH
1 - 2
MER
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
ALR
1 - 1
MER
28%
27%
45%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ahly Shendi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
ALA
3 - 0
WHS
63%
21%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2019 |
HAY
2 - 0
ALA
28%
28%
44%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
ALA
0 - 1
ALH
31%
27%
41%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
ALR
0 - 2
ALA
18%
27%
55%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
ALH
0 - 0
ALA
23%
28%
49%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |