Merreikh El-Fasher vs Al-Ahly Merowe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
40.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merreikh El-Fasher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
HIL
2 - 0
MER
61%
22%
17%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2021 |
HAY
0 - 0
MER
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
MER
1 - 0
ALH
51%
24%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
MER
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
MER
2 - 3
HAW
34%
27%
39%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Ahly Merowe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
AAS
1 - 1
HIL
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
HAW
2 - 0
AAS
40%
28%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
ALH
1 - 0
AAS
61%
21%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
AAS
1 - 0
ALA
60%
23%
17%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
AAS
2 - 0
ASH
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |