Merreikh El-Fasher vs Al Ahli Khartoum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merreikh El-Fasher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
ALH
4 - 0
MER
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
ALN
1 - 3
MER
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
MER
3 - 1
KHA
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
MER
0 - 1
ALM
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
MER
1 - 0
HIL
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ahli Khartoum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ALA
2 - 0
ALR
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
ALA
0 - 0
ELA
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
ALN
0 - 3
ALA
46%
27%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
KHA
0 - 0
ALA
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
ALA
2 - 1
ALH
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |