Merkuur vs Tartu Santos II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.8%
Win probability
3.51
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.8%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.1%
4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merkuur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
MER
6 - 4
ZEN
80%
12%
8%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
PIR
0 - 5
MER
12%
16%
72%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
MER
7 - 0
TJK
82%
11%
7%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
MER
5 - 3
LEV
83%
11%
6%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
TDU
3 - 3
MER
29%
21%
50%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tartu Santos II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
TFC
2 - 3
VOR
27%
21%
53%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
PIR
0 - 0
TFC
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
TFC
3 - 1
KUU
59%
20%
22%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
LEV
2 - 1
TFC
51%
21%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
TFC
1 - 0
NOO
41%
21%
38%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |