Merkuur vs Maardu II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
4.2%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14.7%
14.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merkuur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
FCA
1 - 2
MER
15%
15%
70%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MER
4 - 6
AJA
47%
21%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
VOR
6 - 2
MER
36%
21%
43%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
MER
6 - 0
KJK
96%
3%
1%
|
40 | 13 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MRU
2 - 2
MER
15%
16%
69%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Maardu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
MST
3 - 1
NOO
34%
20%
46%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
TFC
3 - 3
MST
30%
21%
50%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MST
5 - 2
PIR
64%
18%
18%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
TJK
10 - 1
MST
84%
10%
7%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MST
11 - 4
NAR
30%
20%
49%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +3 |