Merksem vs Sint-Lenaarts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
25.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merksem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ZWA
1 - 1
MER
46%
23%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MER
1 - 0
HAD
29%
25%
45%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
WIT
1 - 2
MER
47%
24%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
MER
1 - 0
SIN
60%
21%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
VLI
3 - 0
MER
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sint-Lenaarts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
VOS
0 - 1
SIN
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
SIN
2 - 2
ZWA
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SIN
2 - 3
LEO
28%
26%
47%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
HAD
3 - 0
SIN
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
SIN
0 - 2
TIE
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -2 |