Merksem vs Sint-Job analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merksem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
VLI
3 - 0
MER
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
MER
4 - 0
BRE
19%
23%
58%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +5 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 0
MER
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MER
1 - 1
VOS
31%
23%
47%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LEO
5 - 0
MER
69%
20%
12%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Sint-Job
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
SIN
2 - 2
ZWA
38%
24%
38%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
HAD
4 - 2
SIN
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SIN
1 - 2
WIT
37%
25%
39%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SIN
0 - 1
SIN
33%
23%
44%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
VLI
2 - 2
SIN
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |