Merksem vs Overpelt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merksem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
LYR
1 - 1
MER
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
MER
1 - 2
SIN
53%
22%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ZWA
1 - 1
MER
46%
23%
30%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MER
1 - 0
HAD
29%
25%
45%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
WIT
1 - 2
MER
47%
24%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Overpelt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
OVE
2 - 2
ZWA
54%
24%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
HAD
0 - 0
OVE
53%
23%
25%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
WIT
0 - 3
OVE
33%
24%
42%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
OVE
2 - 1
SIN
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
VLI
1 - 3
OVE
41%
23%
37%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |