De Merino.s vs Swift analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
55.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Merino.s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
MON
0 - 1
DEM
54%
23%
24%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
DEM
2 - 1
HUI
18%
22%
59%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | +3 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ROD
1 - 1
DEM
47%
24%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
DEM
2 - 2
DBE
32%
24%
44%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
YBO
2 - 0
DEM
79%
14%
7%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |