Venados FC vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
45.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
MER
4 - 2
ALE
38%
29%
33%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
ALT
3 - 0
MER
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
UAT
3 - 2
MER
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MER
2 - 2
BAL
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
DOR
1 - 0
MER
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
JAG
2 - 1
TOL
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
TOL
0 - 0
MOR
53%
24%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
TOL
0 - 1
LEO
51%
25%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 0
TOL
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
TOL
3 - 1
TIJ
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |