Venados FC vs Pumas UNAM analysis


70	ELO	79
-5.4%	Tilt	-5%
1158º	General ELO ranking	399º
26º	Country ELO ranking	11º
ELO win probability

33.6%

Venados FC

27.5%

Draw

38.9%

Pumas UNAM

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

33.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%

27.5%

Draw

0-0

9%

1-1

13%

2-2

4.7%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

0

27.5%

38.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-2%

-17%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Venados FC

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
02 Feb. 2014	MER 1 - 1 LOB 55% 25% 20%	69	64	5	0
26 Jan. 2014	ALT 0 - 0 MER 38% 28% 34%	69	63	6	0
23 Jan. 2014	ATL 2 - 0 MER 54% 23% 23%	70	72	2	-1
19 Jan. 2014	MER 3 - 3 ALE 39% 29% 33%	70	74	4	0
16 Jan. 2014	MER 1 - 0 ATL 40% 26% 35%	69	71	2	+1

Matches

Pumas UNAM

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
02 Feb. 2014	PUM 3 - 0 TIJ 37% 28% 35%	78	82	4
26 Jan. 2014	TIG 1 - 2 PUM 62% 24% 15%	78	84	6
22 Jan. 2014	PUM 3 - 0 DEL 61% 22% 17%	78	67	11
19 Jan. 2014	PUM 0 - 2 TOL 33% 27% 40%	78	84	6
17 Jan. 2014	DEL 3 - 2 PUM 33% 27% 40%	78	66	12