Venados FC vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
53.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
EST
2 - 0
MER
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
PUM
0 - 0
MER
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
PUM
1 - 0
MER
72%
19%
10%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
MER
1 - 1
IRA
28%
28%
44%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
MER
0 - 1
TIJ
25%
26%
48%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
PUM
69%
19%
13%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
PUM
1 - 2
TOL
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
PUM
1 - 0
MER
72%
19%
10%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
TIJ
1 - 0
PUM
36%
30%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
PUM
0 - 0
TOR
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |