Venados FC vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
MER
1 - 0
PUM
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
CAZ
1 - 2
MER
38%
27%
36%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
MER
1 - 0
VER
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2008 |
ATL
0 - 3
MER
32%
26%
41%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
MER
2 - 0
JAG
77%
15%
7%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
CAZ
0 - 0
ORI
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
ORI
0 - 0
VER
28%
28%
44%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2008 |
ATL
1 - 1
ORI
34%
27%
40%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
ORI
1 - 0
JAG
63%
23%
15%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
MEX
1 - 1
ORI
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |