Venados FC vs Murciélagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
MER
2 - 2
ATL
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
CAZ
0 - 1
MER
65%
21%
13%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
NEC
2 - 3
MER
36%
28%
37%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
MER
0 - 1
CAZ
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
MER
2 - 4
ZAC
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
MUR
4 - 0
CAF
18%
25%
57%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 0
DOR
10%
16%
74%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 0
ATL
15%
23%
62%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
DOR
1 - 2
MUR
87%
10%
4%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | +2 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
TEP
3 - 3
MUR
76%
17%
7%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | 0 |