Apertura Ascenso MX Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Venados FC vs Lobos BUAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CAF
0 - 2
MER
43%
28%
30%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MER
0 - 0
LOB
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CAZ
0 - 0
MER
40%
27%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MER
1 - 0
VER
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
REB
1 - 1
MER
43%
27%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
LOB
1 - 3
TOR
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MER
0 - 0
LOB
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
LOB
2 - 0
PUM
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
IRA
2 - 0
LOB
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
LOB
2 - 1
UDG
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |