Venados FC vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
19%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
GUE
0 - 2
MER
19%
26%
55%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
MER
0 - 0
VER
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
UDG
2 - 2
MER
27%
27%
46%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MER
1 - 1
IRA
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
NEC
1 - 0
MER
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
DUR
1 - 0
ORI
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
UAT
1 - 2
DUR
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
DUR
2 - 0
REB
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
LEO
0 - 2
DUR
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
DUR
3 - 5
PUM
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |