Venados FC vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
CAO
2 - 1
MER
43%
25%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
MER
4 - 2
TOR
33%
25%
41%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
TAB
0 - 0
MER
55%
22%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
MER
2 - 2
ALT
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
DOR
2 - 0
MER
63%
21%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
DUR
0 - 2
LEO
22%
23%
55%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
TIG
2 - 2
DUR
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
DUR
4 - 0
CHI
50%
24%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
LOB
1 - 1
DUR
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
DUR
2 - 0
ZAP
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |