Mérida AD U19 vs Fuenlabrada U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
37.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
16º
15º
29
4º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida AD U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
GET
6 - 0
MER
79%
14%
7%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MER
1 - 1
VAD
10%
17%
74%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CIA
3 - 0
MER
49%
22%
29%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MER
1 - 4
ATM
7%
15%
78%
|
13 | 40 | 27 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ALC
2 - 1
MER
28%
24%
48%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fuenlabrada U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
UDL
3 - 1
FUE
80%
13%
7%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FUE
0 - 1
GET
20%
22%
58%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VAD
4 - 2
FUE
79%
14%
7%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FUE
0 - 0
CIA
49%
22%
29%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ATM
6 - 0
FUE
90%
8%
3%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | -1 |