Mérida CP vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
23.7%
35.8%
Draw
0-0
21.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
35.8%
28.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
VAL
3 - 1
MER
68%
19%
14%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
FCA
1 - 0
MER
63%
24%
13%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
MER
1 - 1
GIM
40%
35%
25%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
FCB
2 - 0
MER
73%
19%
8%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
MER
1 - 1
SFE
52%
32%
17%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
RJA
1 - 0
FCA
70%
20%
10%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
GIM
1 - 1
RJA
52%
30%
19%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1980 |
RJA
3 - 0
FCB
55%
27%
19%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
SFE
2 - 3
RJA
52%
29%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
RJA
3 - 1
POR
61%
26%
13%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |