Mérida CP vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.8%
14.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
COR
3 - 0
MER
81%
12%
8%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1946 |
MER
1 - 2
REC
34%
22%
45%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
CAL
4 - 0
MER
21%
20%
59%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 1946 |
MER
1 - 1
RJA
32%
23%
45%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
LIN
5 - 3
MER
67%
17%
16%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
LUC
0 - 3
REC
29%
22%
50%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1946 |
RJA
5 - 0
LUC
86%
9%
5%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
LUC
2 - 2
EME
71%
16%
14%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1946 |
EGA
5 - 1
LUC
55%
21%
25%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
LUC
0 - 1
COR
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |