Merida B vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
18.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
21.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.2%
+2
24.7%
1-0
17%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.3%
+1
20.9%
10%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
0.3%
3-3
<0%
0
10%
1.5%
Win probability
0.17
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merida B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
JER
1 - 2
MCB
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
MCB
1 - 0
MOR
44%
27%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
SAM
3 - 3
MCB
19%
25%
57%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1996 |
MCB
2 - 0
COR
77%
16%
7%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
SNV
0 - 4
MCB
10%
22%
68%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
UDF
0 - 6
OLI
38%
26%
36%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
BUR
1 - 0
UDF
81%
14%
5%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
UDF
2 - 1
UDF
25%
26%
49%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1996 |
UCL
2 - 0
UDF
77%
16%
7%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
UDF
1 - 2
CAS
19%
26%
56%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | -1 |