AD Mérida vs Xerez Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
23.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
VEL
0 - 0
MAD
18%
25%
57%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MAD
1 - 1
CEU
65%
22%
13%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
PAN
1 - 3
MAD
22%
25%
53%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
MAD
0 - 0
REC
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CPC
0 - 3
MAD
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Xerez Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
XER
2 - 0
VIL
25%
27%
48%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
CPC
2 - 0
XER
49%
26%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
XER
1 - 5
CCF
16%
25%
58%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
JER
0 - 2
XER
12%
21%
67%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
XER
2 - 1
SAN
22%
25%
54%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |