AD Mérida vs UCAM Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
39%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
CDB
2 - 2
MAD
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
JUM
1 - 1
MAD
28%
27%
45%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAD
0 - 1
BET
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
MAD
6 - 0
CDB
59%
22%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 1
MAD
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
UCA
2 - 0
ALM
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SEV
1 - 0
UCA
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 0
UCA
38%
30%
33%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
UCA
2 - 0
CAD
32%
28%
40%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LIN
0 - 3
UCA
31%
31%
38%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |