AD Mérida vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
29.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 1
MAD
58%
24%
18%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MAD
0 - 1
CAR
36%
28%
36%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
MAD
36%
27%
38%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MAD
1 - 0
GRA
34%
28%
39%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MEL
4 - 0
MAD
51%
27%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
RJA
0 - 1
ROD
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CDE
0 - 0
RJA
25%
27%
48%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
RJA
2 - 2
MAN
75%
18%
8%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CRD
1 - 1
RJA
25%
28%
48%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
RJA
0 - 0
LIN
60%
24%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |