AD Mérida vs Real Jaén analysis

AD Mérida Real Jaén
51 ELO 54
2.5% Tilt -15.3%
2124º General ELO ranking 4928º
68º Country ELO ranking 173º
ELO win probability
42.3%
AD Mérida
28.1%
Draw
29.7%
Real Jaén

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
AD Mérida
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
29.7%
Win probability
Real Jaén
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AD Mérida
+9%
-28%
Real Jaén

ELO progression

AD Mérida
Real Jaén
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AD Mérida
AD Mérida
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Oct. 2016
MAR
Marbella FC
2 - 1
AD Mérida
MAD
58%
24%
18%
50 54 4 0
25 Sep. 2016
MAD
AD Mérida
0 - 1
FC Cartagena
CAR
36%
28%
36%
50 58 8 0
18 Sep. 2016
SAN
San Fernando CD
2 - 0
AD Mérida
MAD
36%
27%
38%
52 46 6 -2
11 Sep. 2016
MAD
AD Mérida
1 - 0
Recreativo Granada
GRA
34%
28%
39%
51 59 8 +1
04 Sep. 2016
MEL
UD Melilla
4 - 0
AD Mérida
MAD
51%
27%
22%
52 56 4 -1

Matches

Real Jaén
Real Jaén
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Oct. 2016
RJA
Real Jaén
0 - 1
La Roda CF
ROD
68%
20%
12%
55 43 12 0
25 Sep. 2016
CDE
Pvo. El Ejido
0 - 0
Real Jaén
RJA
25%
27%
48%
55 40 15 0
17 Sep. 2016
RJA
Real Jaén
2 - 2
Mancha Real
MAN
75%
18%
8%
55 42 13 0
11 Sep. 2016
CRD
Córdoba CF B
1 - 1
Real Jaén
RJA
25%
28%
48%
56 44 12 -1
04 Sep. 2016
RJA
Real Jaén
0 - 0
Linares Deportivo
LIN
60%
24%
17%
56 50 6 0