AD Mérida vs Jerez Cf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
0 - 1
MAD
28%
24%
48%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 0
ASJ
78%
14%
8%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
RCV
0 - 2
MAD
17%
21%
62%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
MAD
0 - 3
DPC
66%
19%
16%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MAD
4 - 0
UDF
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Jerez Cf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
JER
3 - 1
DBN
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 4
JER
29%
24%
48%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
JER
0 - 0
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
1 - 0
JER
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
EXT
4 - 0
JER
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |