AD Mérida vs CD Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
8.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 2
MAD
15%
22%
63%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MAD
3 - 0
UDF
81%
13%
6%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ASJ
0 - 4
MAD
16%
22%
62%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MAD
1 - 0
JER
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SNV
0 - 2
MAD
22%
23%
55%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
CD Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
DBN
3 - 2
PUE
56%
24%
20%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 1
DBN
42%
27%
31%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
DBN
0 - 3
EXT
27%
27%
46%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
AZU
0 - 3
DBN
46%
24%
31%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
DBN
2 - 0
CAS
64%
22%
14%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |