AD Mérida vs Atlético Baleares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
55%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
NAV
2 - 0
MAD
29%
26%
46%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MAD
1 - 1
MAJ
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ATB
2 - 1
MAD
63%
22%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
MAD
3 - 0
NAV
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
MAJ
2 - 1
MAD
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Baleares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
ATB
1 - 0
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
DBN
1 - 4
ATB
24%
25%
52%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ATB
2 - 1
MAD
63%
22%
16%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 2
ATB
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ATB
1 - 0
DBN
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |