AD Mérida vs Mancha Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CRD
1 - 0
MAD
33%
29%
38%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
MAD
1 - 0
LIN
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
REC
1 - 1
MAD
35%
30%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MAD
5 - 1
BAL
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
JUM
0 - 1
MAD
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 0
ROD
36%
27%
37%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
CDE
1 - 0
MAN
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MUR
3 - 1
MAN
73%
19%
8%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MAN
0 - 1
CRD
28%
26%
47%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
LIN
1 - 1
MAN
62%
22%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |