Merelinense vs Vianense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
MER
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
MER
1 - 1
FOR
69%
18%
14%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
MER
40%
25%
36%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
OSL
2 - 2
MER
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MER
1 - 2
CAM
78%
15%
7%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Vianense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
OSL
2 - 0
VIA
65%
20%
15%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
VIA
1 - 0
CAM
65%
20%
15%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
VIA
72%
17%
12%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
VIA
1 - 2
PED
41%
26%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CAM
2 - 0
VIA
56%
23%
22%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |