Merelinense vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
OSL
2 - 2
MER
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MER
1 - 2
CAM
78%
15%
7%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
MER
51%
23%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
PED
2 - 3
MER
28%
26%
47%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
MER
1 - 0
CAM
43%
25%
33%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
OLI
5 - 0
UNM
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
PAR
3 - 1
UNM
49%
24%
28%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
UNM
1 - 3
TRO
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
UNM
0 - 5
TIR
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -4 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
AMA
8 - 0
UNM
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -2 |