Merelinense vs Torcatense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
38.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
AMA
1 - 1
MER
22%
22%
56%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MER
1 - 0
JOA
33%
23%
43%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
AGU
3 - 1
MER
16%
20%
65%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MER
0 - 1
MAR
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
TDB
0 - 2
MER
34%
23%
43%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Torcatense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 0
BRI
86%
10%
4%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TAI
1 - 3
TOR
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 3
MAR
59%
21%
21%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ARO
0 - 2
TOR
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
TOR
3 - 2
PDA
85%
11%
5%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | -1 |