Merelinense vs S.Paio D´Arcos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
RON
1 - 2
MER
24%
22%
54%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MER
1 - 1
SER
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
MER
1 - 1
BRI
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
TAI
2 - 1
MER
32%
23%
44%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MER
1 - 1
MAR
46%
23%
31%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
S.Paio D´Arcos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
SPA
2 - 0
BRI
35%
24%
42%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
TAI
3 - 2
SPA
57%
21%
22%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 1
MAR
23%
23%
54%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ARO
2 - 0
SPA
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SPA
3 - 2
PDA
59%
20%
20%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |