Merelinense vs Pedras Salgadas analysis


34	ELO	33
-13.8%	Tilt	-8.5%
ELO win probability

44.3%

Merelinense

25.2%

Draw

30.5%

Pedras Salgadas

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

44.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%

25.2%

Draw

0-0

6.4%

1-1

12%

2-2

5.6%

3-3

1.1%

4-4

0.1%

0

25.2%

30.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

9º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

30

5º

12º

9º

29

3º

10º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

10º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	51	51	1º	57.5%
2º	50	51	2º	57.5%
4º	43	46	3º	89%
3º	44	44	4º	89%
5º	39	39	5º	100%
6º	35	36	6º	82%
7º	35	35	7º	82%
8º	31	34	8º	68%
9º	30	33	9º	68%
10º	29	30	10º	76%
13º	24	27	11º	14%
11º	26	27	12º	17%
12º	25	25	13º	49%
14º	18	18	14º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion play-offs	0%	0%
Relegation play-offs	100%	100%
Mid-table	0%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Merelinense

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
12 Mar. 2023	AMA 2 - 1 MER 69% 18% 13%	33	43	10	0
05 Mar. 2023	MER 3 - 0 BRA 69% 19% 12%	33	23	10	0
26 Feb. 2023	DUM 1 - 0 MER 40% 23% 38%	34	30	4	-1
19 Feb. 2023	MER 0 - 1 PEV 50% 24% 26%	35	33	2	-1
12 Feb. 2023	MAR 0 - 2 MER 34% 24% 43%	34	28	6	+1

Matches

Pedras Salgadas

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
12 Mar. 2023	PED 0 - 1 MON 66% 19% 15%	35	24	11	0
05 Mar. 2023	PED 0 - 0 AMA 24% 25% 51%	34	44	10	+1
26 Feb. 2023	BRA 0 - 1 PED 25% 25% 50%	34	24	10	0
19 Feb. 2023	PED 1 - 1 DUM 47% 23% 30%	34	30	4	0
11 Feb. 2023	PEV 3 - 1 PED 38% 25% 37%	36	31	5	-2