Merelinense vs Lousada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAM
0 - 0
MER
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
OSL
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 1
MER
63%
23%
14%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MER
0 - 1
FAM
19%
24%
58%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MAC
3 - 2
MER
45%
25%
31%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Lousada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 2
VAR
19%
25%
55%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
MOR
7 - 1
LOU
79%
15%
7%
|
36 | 66 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MIR
4 - 1
LOU
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 0
LOU
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LOU
1 - 2
OSL
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |