Merelinense vs Felgueiras 1932 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
55.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CEL
0 - 0
MER
10%
16%
74%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MER
0 - 0
NIN
48%
22%
30%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MOR
9 - 0
MER
91%
7%
2%
|
27 | 69 | 42 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 0
MER
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MER
1 - 3
BRA
29%
24%
47%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Felgueiras 1932
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
FEL
47%
25%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
FEL
0 - 0
FAM
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
FEL
0 - 2
RIB
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
FAM
3 - 2
FEL
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ADO
2 - 1
FEL
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |