Merelinense U17 vs Padroense FC U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
67%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
2º
9º
9º
24
5º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 0 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MER
3 - 0
PAL
73%
15%
12%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GUI
2 - 0
MER
88%
8%
4%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MER
2 - 5
POR
5%
9%
86%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
BOA
2 - 2
MER
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FAM
3 - 0
MER
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Padroense FC U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PAD
0 - 4
BOA
42%
22%
36%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FAM
2 - 2
PAD
42%
22%
37%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PAD
2 - 0
RIO
33%
22%
45%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
BRA
3 - 0
PAD
77%
13%
10%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PAD
4 - 2
GUI
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +3 |