Merelinense U17 vs Braga U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.3%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
80%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
2º
9º
9º
36
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 0 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MER
1 - 2
PAD
16%
17%
67%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MER
3 - 0
PAL
73%
15%
12%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GUI
2 - 0
MER
88%
8%
4%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MER
2 - 5
POR
5%
9%
86%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
BOA
2 - 2
MER
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Braga U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
BRA
10%
15%
75%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
BRA
3 - 2
GUI
69%
16%
15%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
POR
1 - 0
BRA
68%
18%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BRA
10 - 1
PAL
93%
5%
2%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
BRA
3 - 0
PAD
77%
13%
10%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |