Merelinense U19 vs Vila Real U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.8%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
4.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-74%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
7º
3º
8
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
20 | 23 |
3º
|
84% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
TRF
1 - 3
MER
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MER
1 - 3
VAR
28%
22%
50%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MER
0 - 0
VIL
32%
22%
46%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MIR
2 - 1
MER
19%
19%
62%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MER
4 - 1
VIL
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Real U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 0
VIL
90%
8%
3%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 2
OSL
14%
17%
69%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
AMA
5 - 1
VIL
75%
14%
10%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
TRF
2 - 0
VIL
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MER
4 - 1
VIL
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |