Merelinense U19 vs Amarante U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
15%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-74%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
7º
3º
24
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
24 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
20 | 23 |
3º
|
84% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 8 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelinense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 3
MER
9%
15%
76%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MER
2 - 2
VIL
40%
23%
37%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
TRF
0 - 0
MER
29%
22%
49%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
OSL
3 - 4
MER
29%
22%
50%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MER
4 - 3
MIR
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Amarante U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
AMA
0 - 1
OSL
54%
21%
26%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
AMA
1 - 0
VIL
81%
12%
7%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MIR
2 - 2
AMA
23%
20%
57%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AMA
3 - 0
TRF
37%
22%
41%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 3
AMA
46%
22%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |