Merelbeke vs Oostkamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
62.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
17º
4º
55
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
75% | |
|
|
5º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
55.5% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 44 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 44 |
12º
|
31% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 42 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
88.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
11.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelbeke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
EMU
0 - 3
MER
16%
19%
65%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MER
2 - 1
ZUL
66%
19%
16%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
WES
0 - 0
MER
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MER
0 - 2
SPA
17%
20%
63%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MER
1 - 0
ZEL
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Oostkamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
OOS
6 - 3
WES
85%
10%
4%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
GEN
2 - 2
OOS
31%
24%
46%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
OOS
2 - 2
OUD
83%
12%
6%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
GUL
1 - 2
OOS
12%
18%
70%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
OOS
2 - 2
EEA
54%
22%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |