Mercurio vs Sporting Meicende B analysis


7	ELO	16
1.1%	Tilt	1.6%
17904º	General ELO ranking	12621º
5344º	Country ELO ranking	2107º
ELO win probability

10.7%

Mercurio

15.7%

Draw

73.6%

Sporting Meicende B

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

10.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%

15.7%

Draw

0-0

3.2%

1-1

7.2%

2-2

4.1%

3-3

4-4

0.1%

5-5

<0%

15.7%

73.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.9%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%