Mercurio vs Curtis CCD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
9.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.4%
68.7%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+244%
+99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercurio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
ABE
0 - 2
MER
50%
21%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MER
1 - 2
SPO
11%
16%
74%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
TEI
5 - 2
MER
73%
15%
12%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
MER
0 - 7
PCA
43%
21%
36%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Curtis CCD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CUR
5 - 2
MES
62%
19%
19%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SXU
1 - 5
CUR
30%
21%
48%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CUR
1 - 4
XCC
56%
19%
24%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
BRI
2 - 7
CUR
26%
22%
53%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
CUR
3 - 2
UCA
74%
15%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |