Mercurio de Iñas vs Union Campestre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercurio de Iñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
OCA
1 - 2
MER
45%
21%
34%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MER
2 - 5
CAR
17%
18%
65%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CRI
3 - 3
MER
80%
12%
8%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MER
1 - 1
JUV
22%
19%
59%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MER
3 - 0
ATL
51%
20%
29%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Union Campestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
UCA
4 - 0
ATL
64%
17%
20%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 1
UCA
90%
8%
3%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
UCA
2 - 1
PAS
23%
19%
58%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
POR
3 - 0
UCA
88%
9%
3%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UCA
0 - 4
HER
8%
13%
79%
|
6 | 18 | 12 | 0 |