Mercantile vs Sprint-Jeløy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
33.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mercantile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
S08
2 - 1
MFC
89%
9%
3%
|
39 | 68 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
MFC
0 - 8
KVI
22%
23%
55%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
DON
1 - 2
MFC
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2004 |
MFC
2 - 2
KJE
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
FRI
2 - 0
MFC
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sprint-Jeløy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
TFC
3 - 0
SJE
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
KVI
3 - 3
SJE
77%
14%
9%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
SJE
6 - 2
DON
68%
18%
15%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2004 |
SJE
1 - 4
S08
11%
19%
70%
|
40 | 69 | 29 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
KJE
3 - 1
SJE
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |